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The mathematician of the Complutense University of Madrid, José-Vidal Ruiz Varela, argues that Europe must raise its borrowing limit, leaving its deflationary policy. Meanwhile, USA must correct debt and raise the interest rates. Raising the interest rates in the USA and dropping them in Europe, recovers the European domestic demand and EE.UU may return to invest in Europe, with a stronger dollar, without any problem, generating hundreds of thousands of Jobs

Curso Superior Especialización Mercados. e-mail : admin@fasesdelabolsa.net

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ECB forecasters cut view for euro-zone growth


By MarketWatch , FRANKFURT
Economists once again cut their growth expectations for the euro zone for this year and next, according to a European Central Bank survey published Thursday, citing weak demand at home and abroad
Forecasters now expect euro-zone economic activity to contract by 0.6% in 2013, down from a previous prediction of a 0.4% contraction, made just three months ago, the ECB said in its quarterly Survey of Professional Forecasters
Survey respondents blamed weaker than expected domestic demand in the first quarter as the main reasons for the downward revision in 2013, but also noted "disappointing data from key emerging economies such as China and Brazil implying a lowering in the expected contribution of net trade to growth in the near term."
Euro-zone growth is subsequently expected to rise 0.9% in 2014, down from a previous forecast of 1.0% in May, before accelerating to 1.5% in 2015, also downwardly revised from 1.6%
The survey results come despite welcome signs that the euro zone is returning to growth after six straight quarters of contraction
A recent surge in German growth, evident from an unexpected jump in industrial production, has fueled hopes for a modest recovery in the monetary bloc
An upbeat survey of purchasing managers in the euro zone last week and signs of slowing recessions in Italy and Spain have also raised expectations that euro-zone economy grew in the second quarter, after a 0.3% contraction in the first three months of the year
The positive news is unlikely to sway the ECB from its accommodative stance, however, as ECB forecasters also revised down their inflation expectations by 0.2 percentage points to 1.5% this year
Inflation is expected to remain at 1.5% in 2014, mainly reflecting weaker economic activity and euro-zone labor markets
Economists increased their expectations for unemployment in the euro zone to 12.4% in 2014, even after unemployment in the 17-country euro area edged down in June for the first time since April 2011
Inflation expectations for 2015 were unchanged at 1.8%, and long-term inflation should reach 2.0%, the survey said.
The lower inflation expectation underscores ECB President Mario Draghi's determination to keep official interest rates at or below their present low levels "for an extended period of time." The top euro-zone central banker issued the forward guidance first in July, stressing that the central bank's "downward bias" is based on a subdued inflation outlook over the medium-term
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